Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.310040 0.415129 0.537257 0.687499 0.865167 1.066468 1.309635
2025-12-21 0.164706 0.284279 0.446527 0.672614 0.969364 1.335897 1.812770
2025-12-28 0.091379 0.208373 0.394094 0.683797 1.098354 1.645634 2.397175
2026-01-04 0.048033 0.151708 0.346291 0.684399 1.206599 1.935285 2.979919
2026-01-11 0.021695 0.104583 0.293418 0.660202 1.269643 2.164004 3.495301
2026-01-18 0.008810 0.072727 0.252775 0.642507 1.334348 2.394730 4.023503
2026-01-25 0.003388 0.053633 0.228725 0.646308 1.429849 2.673548 4.631483
2026-02-01 0.000735 0.035528 0.195212 0.621075 1.469559 2.866370 5.121062
2026-02-08 0.000167 0.028379 0.188309 0.649225 1.604449 3.213897 5.852670
2026-02-15 0.000005 0.020353 0.171824 0.650645 1.688424 3.482464 6.474288
2026-02-22 NaN 0.017836 0.175135 0.700232 1.867534 3.914416 7.359755
2026-03-01 NaN 0.014428 0.171399 0.730609 2.010737 4.292100 8.172504
2026-03-08 NaN 0.010430 0.160439 0.740548 2.116697 4.616962 8.922440
2026-03-15 NaN 0.006515 0.142923 0.727142 2.173050 4.859639 9.551814
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004530 0.135049 0.740142 2.285692 5.204694 10.354847
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002833 0.124500 0.741388 2.372090 5.506093 11.095265
2026-04-05 NaN 0.001337 0.107827 0.716084 2.395876 5.695169 11.657409
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000562 0.094547 0.697496 2.431902 5.906527 12.260607
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000256 0.087804 0.701603 2.521111 6.218768 13.038414
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000049 0.074971 0.674897 2.532310 6.384370 13.573963
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000021 0.074862 0.704755 2.686198 6.825600 14.584425
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000002 0.069152 0.706271 2.768128 7.131372 15.370977
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000001 0.073490 0.758783 2.984843 7.703494 16.622892